Overview
After a pretty bleak Derby for my betting we had a really nice bounce back at the Preakness with about a 25% ROI. Let’s continue the upswing at the Test of Champions!!!
I really enjoy the Belmont and this card has some big and interesting races, but it is really unfortunate how small some of the fields are. As an aside, I had the opportunity to attend the Belmont a few years ago (with some amazing tickets) and see Justify win his triple crown. I took this picture during the post parade and it’ll be a day I hope to never forget:
If you can, I highly recommend making it to Elmont, NY for a Belmont Stakes Saturday. It is an amazing day.
Below you will find 3 sections:
Race-by-Race Analysis - this is the listing of the horses I like in each race
My full list of tickets - a listing of all my personal wagers for the day
Smaller Wagering Card - This is a subset /adjusted version of my tickets for those who are looking for more targeted wagers, less action or have a smaller bank roll.
Note - Similar to Preakness Saturday, I will do my best to update this article once the scratches come out on Saturday morning and will send an new email with a link to the updated article as soon as it is posted, but I wanted to get this out today in case folks are not able to be available Saturday morning waiting for scratches.
Race-by-Race Analysis:
Without further ado, here are my favorite horses (in preference order) for each race. Let’s get it!!!!
Changes related to scratches in bold
8, 7, 2, 6, 3
6,
4, 1, 3, 2, 85, 4, 2 - Echo Zulu is really great but the value here will suck so playing the 4
3, 2, 4, 1
3, 7, 1, 2, 5, 4
1, 3, 4, 2
4, 1, 5, 3 - this is a reallllllly strong race
4, 3, 5, 12, 8, 1 - this is a big deep field
2, 1, 4, 3 - The 1 vs 2 battle here might be the most fascinating race of the day, but if either falter the 4 will be there to pick up the pieces
9, 2, 5, 10, 4
6, 8, 1, 5, 3, 2
12, 8, 7,
5,412, 6, 4, 1, 2
My Full list of tickets:
I am devoting $920 to today’s races, but this is based off of my bankroll and my personal limits and my personal wagering history. As you can immediately see this is less than what I did for the first to triple crown legs and that is because of the tight fields and big favs so the betting on a specific race doesn’t have a ton of value but multi races should have some.
PLEASE make sure you are gambling within your bankroll and your limits!! I have included a section below this that has a more targeted list of wagers and many of the single race wagers can be done for less than what I have put here so please do not bet more than you should.
By Race ($435 total):
Pass
$0.5 tri box 1, 2, 3,
4, 6 ($12) the 4 scratched, replace with the 1Multiple ($25)
$10 WP on 4 ($20)
$5 Ex 4 / 5 ($5)
$30 W on 3 ($30)
$10 WP on 3 ($20)
$30 on 1 ($30)
Multiple ($32)
$10 WP on 4 ($20)
$0.5 tri box 1, 3, 4, 5 ($12)
Multiple ($32)
$0.5 tri box 3, 4, 5, 12 ($12)
$10 WP on 4 ($20)
$3 Ex 1, 2 / 1, 2, 4 ($12)
Multiple ($32)
$10 WP on 9 ($20)
$0.5 tri box 2, 5, 9, 10 ($12)
Here are my wagers for the 154th running of the Belmont Stakes ($198):
$10 WPS on 6 ($30)
$5 WPS on 8 ($15)
$1 exacta box 1,3,5,6,8 ($20)
$2 exacta 1/3,5,6,8 ($8)
$2 exacta 6/1,3,4,5,8 ($10)
$2 exacta 8/1,3,4,5,6 ($10)
$1 exacta all/1 ($7)
$1 exacta all/6 ($7)
$1 exacta all/8 ($7)
$1 trifecta 6 / 1,3,5,8 / 1,3,4,5,8 ($20)
$1 trifecta 8 / 1,3,5,6 / 1,3,4,5,6 ($20)
$0.5 trifecta 3,5 / 1,3,4,5,6,8 / 1,3,4,5,6,8 ($20)
$0.1 Superfecta 1,6,8 / 1,4,5,6,8 / 1,3,4,5,6,8 / All ($24)
$0.5 tri box 4,
5,7, 8, 12 ($12)Pass
Multi Race card - There are a TON of P4 and P5 options available so just make sure you are being careful as it relates to bankroll management as I know how enticing it is to do all of them. ($485):
Race 1 - $0.5 Pick 5 - 2,6,7,8 / 1,2,3,
4,6 / 4,5 / 3 / 1,2,3,5,7 ($80) the 4 scratched in the 2nd race, replace with the 1Race 2 - $0.5 Pick 4 - 1,2,3,
4,6,8 / 4,5 / 3 / 1,2,3,5,7 ($25) the 4 scratched in the 2nd race, replace with the 1Race 3 - $5 Pick 3 - 4,5 / 3 / 1, 3, 7 ($30)
Race 4:
$5 Pick 3 - 3 / 3, 7 / 1 ($10)
$5 Pick 4 - 3 / 1, 3, 7 / 1 / 1,4 ($30)
Race 7 - $0.5 Pick 5 - 4,5 / 3,4,5,12 / 1,2 / 2,5,9 / 1,5,6,8 ($64)
Race 8 - $0.5 Pick 4 - 3,4,5,12 / 1,2 / 2,5,9,10 / 1,5,6,8 ($64)
Race 9 - $0.5 Pick 5 - 1,2 / 2,5,9,10 / 1,6 / 7,8,12 / 1,4,6,12 ($96)
Race 10 - $0.5 Pick 4 - 2,5,9 / 1,6,8 / 7,8,12 / 1,4,6,12 ($54)
If you enjoy the work that I do please feel free to spread the word!!
Smaller Wagering Card
If you are looking for something more limited than the $920 I am doing on my tickets, I have narrowed down my full set of tickets to a more manageable $298 of wagers for those who are on a different budget / do not want as much action as I like:
Race 3 - $2 Pick 3 - 4,5 / 3 / 1, 3, 7 ($12)
Race 3 - $3 Pick 3 - 4,5 / 3 / 1, 3, 7 ($18)
Race 4 - $20 W on 3 ($20)
Race 4 - $2.5 Pick 4 - 3 / 1, 3, 7 / 1 / 1,4 ($15)
Race 6 - $20 on 1 ($20)
Race 7 - $10 WP on 4 ($20)
Race 7 - $0.5 Pick 5 - 1,4 / 3,4,5,12 / 1,2 / 2,5,9 / 1,6 ($48)
Race 8 - $10 WP on 4 ($20)
Race 9 - $2 Ex 1, 2 / 1, 2, 4 ($8)
Race 10 - $0.5 tri box 2, 5, 9, 10 ($12)
Race 11 - The 154th running of the Belmont Stakes ($):
$10 WPS on 6 ($30)
$5 WPS on 8 ($15)
$1 exacta box 1,3,5,6,8 ($20)
$1 trifecta 6 / 1,3,5,8 / 1,3,4,5,8 ($20)
$1 trifecta 8 / 1,3,5,6 / 1,3,4,5,6 ($20)
Good luck in all your wagering!!!! Let’s get it!