Overview
After a monster Derby for my betting, we had a really nice consistent Preakness Saturday with about a 20% ROI. Let’s continue the profits at the Test of Champions!!!
I really enjoy the Belmont and this card has some significant and interesting races. As an aside, I had the opportunity to attend the Belmont a few years ago (with some amazing tickets) and see Justify win his triple crown. I took this picture during the post-parade and it’ll be a day I hope to never forget:
Note - Similar to Preakness Saturday, I will do my best to update this article once the scratches come out on Saturday morning and will send a new email with a link to the updated article as soon as it is posted, but I wanted to get this out today in case folks are not able to be available Saturday morning waiting for scratches. That said, given the concerns around air quality I expect a large number of scratches, and given how those affect my read on a race, it might change my tickets/order below.
Enough about all that, let’s get it!!!!
Preakness Recap
Unlike Derby Day where things were pretty bad all day until we had a huge score in the Derby, Preakness Saturday was us cashing tickets all day long.
I will never be sad that we had a 21% ROI, but it felt like we left some money on the table with some of the results.
Let’s cash some tickets!
Race-by-Race Analysis:
Race 1 - 2, 9, 5, 7, 3
Race 2 - 2, 6, 1, 11, 9, 5
Race 3 - 5, 4, 1, 2
Race 4 - 6, 1, 10, 5, 9
Race 5 - 1, 5, 2, 6, 7
Race 6 - 2, 5, 7, 9
Race 7 - 6, 2, 4, 5
Race 8 - 4, 3, 7, 13, 12
Race 9 - 11, 10, 12, 3, 8
I was on Casa Creed last year in this race when he won and he is going for 3 in a row!
Race 10 - 1, 6, 7, 5, 3
Race 11- 8, 3, 4, 5
Race 12 - 7, 2, 8, 4, 3, 6, 9, 1, 5
I have gone back and forth on the 8 and 4 as my 3rd horse and I am going to settle on 8. I am clearly fading the 6 Forte quite a bit. If he beats me, then so be it
Race 13 - 1, 9, 10, 5
My list of race tickets:
Below are my tickets for today’s races and these are based on my analysis and my bankroll. PLEASE make sure you are gambling within your bankroll and your limits!!
For today, I am giving myself a $450 bankroll for single races. This does NOT mean you have to bet that much too. If you are someone with a more limited bankroll, PLEASE throttle down the amount wagered to a level that is more comfortable for you.
UPDATE 9:25 am ET - Scratches are out and this post has been updated!
The first post is 11:20 am ET.
My betting card ($448):
Race 1 - $5 Exacta Box 2, 5, 9 ($30)
Race 2 - Multiple ($22)
$10 on 2 to Win
$2 Exacta Box 1, 2, 6 ($12)
Race 3 - Multiple ($34)
$10 Exacta 5 / 4
$2 Trifecta 5 / 1, 4 / 1, 2, 4 ($8)
$2 Pick 3 - 4, 5 / 1, 5, 6, 10 / 1 ($16)
Race 4 - $1 Tri box 1, 5, 6, 10 ($24)
Race 5 - Multiple ($32)
$10 Exacta 1 / 2, 5 ($20)
$2 Trifecta 1 / 2, 5 / 2, 5, 6, 7 ($12)
Race 6 - $10 WPS on the 2 ($30)
Race 7 - Multiple ($30)
$15 Exacta on 6 / 2
$5 Exacta on 6 / 5
$5 Daily Double 6 / 3, 4 ($10)
Race 8 - Multiple ($28)
$10 on 4 to Win
$1 Exacta Box 3, 4, 7 ($6)
$0.5 Trifecta 3,4 / 3, 4, 7,13 / 2, 3, 4, 7, 12, 13 ($12)
Race 9 - Multiple ($40)
$10 on 11 to Win
$1 Tri Box 3, 10, 11, 12 ($24)
$1 Pick 3 on 10, 11 / 1 / 3, 4, 8 ($6)
Race 10 - Multiple ($36)
$10 Exacta 1 / 5, 6, 7 ($30)
$2 Daily Double 1 / 3, 4, 8 ($6)
Race 11 - Multiple ($9)
$2 Ex Box 4, 8 ($4)
$1 Daily Double 8 / 2, 3, 4, 7, 8
Race 12 - The Belmont Stakes ($133)
$20 on 8 to Win
$10 on 2 to Win and Place ($20)
$5 on 7 to Win/Place/Show ($15)
$2 Exacta 2, 7 / 2,3,4,7,8,9 ($20)
$1 Exacta 2,3,4,7,8,9 / 2, 7 ($10)
$0.5 Trifecta 2, 7 / 2,3,4,7,8 / 1,2,3,4,6,7,8,9 ($24)
$0.1 Super 2, 7, 8 / 2,3,4,7,8 / 2,3,4,7,8,9 / 1,2,3,4,6,7,8,9 ($24)
Race 13 - Pass
Come Chat!
Come hang out at the FREE Gamblers Paradise Discord where we are chatting about all things sports and gambling. We will be on the horse racing channel all day, watching the races together and cashing tickets!
We also have channels for NFL, NBA, Soccer, MMA, Cricket, you name it and we’ve got it! Come hang out!
List of Pick 5 and Pick 4 tickets:
These are HIGH risk / high-reward bets. Given the number of races and their profile, there are a ton of these today. I will NOT be betting or tracking these so giving these out to folks who are interested ($326.50):
Race 1 - $0.5 Pick 5 - 2, 5, 9 / 1, 2, 6, 11 / 4, 5 / 1, 5, 6, 10 / 1 ($48)
Race 2 - $0.5 Pick 4 - 1, 2, 6, 9, 11 / 4, 5 / 1, 5, 6, 10 / 1 ($20)
Race 4 - $0.5 Pick 4 - 1, 5, 6, 10 / 1, 2 / 2, 5, 7, 9 / 2, 6 ($32)
Race 6 - $0.5 Pick 4 - 2, 5, 7, 9 / 2, 6 / 3, 4, 7 / 10, 11 ($24)
Race 8 - $0.5 Pick 5 - 3, 4, 7 / 10, 11, 12 / 1 / 3, 4, 8 / 2, 3, 4, 7, 8 ($67.50)
Race 9 - $0.5 Pick 5 - 10, 11 / 1 / 3, 4, 8 / 2, 3, 4, 7, 8 / 1, 5, 9, 10 ($60)
Race 9 - $0.5 Pick 4 - 10, 11, 12 / 1, 6 / 3, 4, 8 / 2, 3, 4, 7, 8 ($45)
Race 10 - $0.5 Pick 4 - 1, 6 / 4, 8 / 2, 3, 4, 7, 8 / 1, 9, 10 ($30)