Alright let’s get to it on this Monday morning!
Monday Night Football
Game 16: Rams @ Packers (Monday 8:15 pm)
Weather Report - it will be VERY cold
Stat that might matter -
Aaron Rodgers is 44-28 SU and 41-29-2 ATS in night games in his career
Titanic Model Output - 1u on LA Rams +7 (-110)
My 2 cents - Last week the Rams pulled off the upset that no one really saw coming with Baker having been in the building for only a couple of days. I think part of this success is down to the genius of Sean McVay and his ability to not only design an offense that Baker could handle, but also to give him keys to read to know where to go with the ball quickly. One interesting thing is that the Packers are worst rush defense (by DVOA), but are a top 10 pass D. They are taking on a team that doesn’t like to run the ball, but I think they will so give me the Rams plus the points and Cam Akers for 0.25u over 56.5 rushing yards (-115)
NBA Weekly Recap
We had a small 0.9u loss on the week and still maintain a 1.2u profit but this week was super up and down. We had a number of really good days, followed by two o-fer’s that cost us 5u of our profits.
There will always be ups and downs across the season and the trick is to make sure you make the hot streak count and last and minimize when the winds are in your face.
NBA Plays
Yesterday’s Performance: the model went 1-1 for 0.7u of profit
Today - We have 3 plays for 3u of risk.
Strategy - I am playing all the picks
Other Notes - nothing for today.
Plays Tables -