Monday Night Football!
Good Morning!!!
Yesterday was a really up and down day (it’ll all be covered in detail in my weekly performance update), but we cashed our first 3u bet of the season and had a 2u bet go down because Sam Darnold missed (my unofficial count) 8 wide open receivers during that game and STILL had a 82.5% chance with 3 min left.
As frustrating as that can be, it is why bankroll management is so important. If you followed all the bets my model posted exactly you are down .3 units this week so we can easily have a decent profit with a win today. If you did the more refined suggested picks at the bottom of the email you went 2-2-1, but had a .7u profit!
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
Now……to get to tonight’s game. The model has Baltimore -7 (-110) as a 2u pick. This is one that I am personally going to play. This is much less of a bet on the Ravens and much more of a pick against the Colts. The Eberflus defense (basically Marinelli’s Tampa 2) is never good very good against the run and…..well…..yeah the Ravens LOVE to run the ball. The Colts offense has also not looked good and unless Wentz has a Delorian we are not getting a healthy version of him. I am going Ravens -7