This week’s profitability is at a knife’s edge, especially with pending wagers. We need to see how MNF plays out. Let’s get to it!
Monday Night Football
Game 14: 49ers @ Cardinals (Monday 8:15 pm)
Stat that might matter -
This game will be played in Mexico at Estadio Azteca
The Cardinals have lost Zach Ertz for the season
Per Football Outsiders, the 49ers have the 3rd-best rush defense and Arizona has the 27th-best rush offense
Titanic Model Output - 1u on San Fran -8 (-110)
My 2 cents - First thing is this game is going to be played at altitude. How high you ask? Denver’s Mile High stadium is 5,280 feet above sea level and this stadium is a nose-bloodying 7,200 feet above sea level. Look I know the 49ers didn't cover last week, but they really should have as they only went 2 for 5 in the RedZone. Score 1 more time and it is an easy cover. On the flip side, the moment I saw Colt McCoy was starting for the Cardinals I said on the discord that it made me regret my bet on the Rams and made me want to bet on the Cards. Kyler should be back and I can’t wait to see what 49er DC DeMeco Ryans draws up.
Verdict
Give me San Fran -8
0.25u on Over 3.5 FG’s +145
1.2u 6pt Teaser -120 on SF -2 / Dallas -2 (Thanksgiving game vs Giants)
Edit Note: apologies for the sloppy original post….edited to clarify the prop is 0.25u (which I forgot to include originally) and to clarify the Dallas leg is for the Thanksgiving game