NBA Plays 12/10
NBA Plays
These plays are behind a pay wall normally so make sure you sign up for the monthly
Recap - Yesterday was a small card but a really nice winning day. We won our 3u play, went 1-1 on 1u plays, but got both of our +money bets including the +210 parlay! Not sure if you have noticed but the models have been having a pretty nice week and we are now down just 2.4u on the month (reminder as of Monday we were down 10.3u for the month). A good day today can get us right back into profits!
Strategy - I am playing the following:
1u and above plays on v1.0 - 3 plays
1u and above total plays from v2.0 - 1 play
Where models agree - plays:
0.25u parlay +264 - Charlotte +1 and Over 229
Yes I know this is not the models agreeing but I like this play
Other Notes - I hope the change in schedule and me getting this out early has been okay for you all. I have been doing this for 2 main reasons:
I was having a discussion with someone I know who works at a sportsbook and was talking NBA lines and as he reminded me these lines can move and move drastically once the limits go up during the day and sharps start to hammer them. This has allowed us to grab some pretty good CLV1 and so far that has been working nicely.
It frankly fits my personal schedule a bit better to be able to get this out early so hopefully it works for you all.
Have a great day in all your action!
Plays Table v1.0:
Plays Table v2.0:
CLV is closing line value. In short, it is the value you get from betting a line that is more favorable than what closes (e.g., we bet Bulls -2 but the line closes Bulls -5, giving us 3 points of CLV). Now, having CLV doesn’t mean you win bets, but it is always a good thing to get a better line and over the long run should make us more profitable.