Weekly Recap
Well, that was freaking awful. Not really much to say other than that. Obviously the 2u and 3u plays are really where we got taken to the woodshed and it was not pretty. We came into the week with a decent profit margin for the season and then this disaster of a week gave it all back and then some.
I got a question about on Discord about the 3 straight days of 3u plays and a question whether that was me doing it or the model. That question is very easy for me to answer as what you see every day is just exactly what the model produces….That said there are certain occasions where I make adjustments to the model, and we are fast approaching one of those times (50% mark of the season). What will change?
Model weightings changes based on what we are seeing work / not work during the season as well as just getting more data (e.g., now that we have more data the strength of schedule gets more weighting)
I analyze the results and look for trends, for example I found a grouping of 1u plays that do not seem to be performing so I will be adjusting parameters to remove those losing plays.
Hope this helps explain what I am doing behind the scenes.
Today’s Plays
Yesterday’s Performance: 0-1 for a 3u loss
For Today - We have 2 plays for 2u of risk
Strategy - I am playing all the picks.
Other Notes -
Play Table -