NFL Preseason Prediction Update!!
I have gotten some questions on where things stand with my preseason prediction like futures bets and what teams I thought would make the playoffs so here is an update as to where all that stands through Week 13. I will do another update prior to Week 18, and include a retrospective as part of my Week 18 performance update.
Futures Update
1.5u play
New Orleans u9.5 - They would need to go 5-0 for us to lose this and they are @ NYJ, @TB, vs MIA, vs Car, @ Atl. I do not think they can get that done, especially given the QB situation
1.25u plays
Jacksonville u6.5 - They would need to win out for us to lose this…..me thinks we are safe
Las Vegas u7 - Basically need Vegas to lose out to win or go 1-4 to push, not feeling great about this, but it is possible given the run in. That said, they have enough talent to beat anyone and enough bone headedness to lose all of these.
1u plays
Baltimore u11 - that loss to the Steelers was great for this one as I know feel pretty good that this at worst is going to be a push, but could easily be a win if they Ravens keep playing like they did this past weekend as they are now out of corners and their offense looks broken
Denver o8.5 - This is going to be tight as we need them to go 3-2 over their last 5 games. I think it might come down to the last game and I won’t feel great about it vs KC.
Pittsburgh u8.5 - This is another one that could be super tight and I think might come down to the Browns and Ravens games to end the season to see if they can get to 9 wins. If we lose this bet it is because Mike Tomlin is a miracle worker and frankly he might be.
Washington o8.5 - We need the Washington’s to go 3-2 and their schedule is vs Dal, @ Phi, @ Dal, vs Phi, @ NYG. I am cautiously optimistic but as a life long fan of an NFC East team, these games could really go any way.
0.75u plays
Chicago u7.5 - To lose this the Bears will have to go 4-1 in their remaining games @GB, vs Min, @Sea, vs NYG, @Min…..Color me skeptical that they can do that.
NY Jets u6 - 3-2 gets us a push, 4-1 loses this bet…..Given they have vs NO, @MIA, vs Jax, vs TB, @Buf - I thin we should be ok
0.5u plays
Arizona u8.5 - well this one is laughably wrong and stupid
Dallas o9 - Need 1 more win for a push and 2 for a win with 4 NFC East games remaining, not much else to say.
Playoff Predictions
I released my playoff predictions via twitter.
For the AFC - looks pretty good right now and all of the teams are still alive. Broncos will give us a sweat and Browns seem to be the only one that at this point that most likely isn’t happening, but all in all, I’m pretty pleased.
For the NFC - This is more of a mixed bag. As discussed on the futures, I missed BADLY on the Cardinals (my model projected them for 7.7 wins, whoops), but as we sit here now all 4 of my top 4 seeds are going looking almost sure to make the playoffs….now let’s talk wild card teams - Seattle sucks so bad call by me, but if the playoffs started today 49ers and Washington would both be in. Lots of time left but again feeling like these are an overall success at this point and I’m cautiously optimistic going forward