3M Open - Recap
Well that was wild huh? Felt like back in the Spring where if they stopped the tournament after 36 holes we would have had a monster tournament, but sadly they kept playing and a bunch of our guys fell away and we had Hoge and Ghim who hung tough until the end.
The wind on Sunday was crazy and seemed to only give Finau and Hahn a break. Anyway, we went 0 for on the outrights, Ghim killed our T10 profit, Ghim and Im helped us to a profit on T20’s.
H2H’s didn’t do well but that can happen as that is usually where we crush things but the thing that was super odd was how well these started to look and then completely reversed on Saturday and Sunday. Also was strange that we cashed the two $25 ones (rather easily) and lost the 2 full unit ones (rather easily).
Rocket Mortgage Classic
The PGA tour stays in the Midwest with a trip to Detroit Golf Club. This course plays to a par 72 over a distance of close to 7,400 yards. While this is a long course it should play pretty easy. Since this tournament came into being we have seen winning scores of -25, -23, and -18.
I know this is an aside that many people do not care about, but I am a big fan of Detroit. I have had to go there a few times for my old job and the first time I went I was pretty nervous, but I honestly had a great time.
This field will be much deeper than last week with 61 of the top 30 and 10 of the top 50 in the world. My numbers are oddly seeing value only on a handful of players and I am quite intrigued by the fact it I am seeing value on Willy Z but I am terrified that I am going to relive the nightmare of someone who can’t make putts……ughhhhhhhh. Fine, I will stick with my values.
Let’s get to this week’s dance card (about 8u of risk):
Outright2:
0.5u on Will Zalatoris +1600
0.25u on Chris Kirk +5000
0.25u on Russell Henley +5500
T10 (0.25u on each):
Will Zalatoris +215
Chris Kirk +465
Russell Henley +500
Luke List +700
T20
1u on Will Zalatoris +110
0.5u on Chris Kirk +225
0.25u on Russell Henley +225
0.25u on Taylor Pendrith +275
0.25u on Luke List +325
0.25u on JJ Spaun +450
Match ups
1.25u on Max Homa over Adam Scott -125
1.17u on Keegan Bradley over Adam Scott -117
0.785u on Patrick Cantlay over Cam Young -157
0.2625u on Cameron Tringale over Webb Simpson -105
As always, I am using BetOnline and Bovada to pull these odds. I bet them as I write this so they are live within the 30 min or so of publication3.
So during golf tournaments I am actively chatting over at the Winners Row Discord server. There is both a free and a VIP portion to it. I am not involved in the VIP side, but you can find me there chatting about how I think the tournament is going, giving updates on our action and answering questions. If you want to come hang out come to:
Come chat with us during the tournament!!!
Daily Fantasy
Similar to everything last week, it was looking so good until Sunday. I am taking a pass this week.
Good luck in all your action!
Cantlay, Zalatoris, Finau, Cam Young, Homa and Kisner
I have gotten asked about FRL bets and I will likely take a shot with these guys 0.10u each just to mess around
Each week I release some plays a little early on the Discord and then on Twitter, so these ones are bet at that time