Thursday Night Football and NBA Plays 11/11
Thursday Night Football:
Titanic Model → Baltimore -7.5 (-110) for 1u
Analysis → Ravens @ Dolphins (TNF) - Based on how my model calculates value it doesn’t see a difference between Brisett or Tua playing and when you look at ESPN’s QBR, there really isn’t so to me, who plays doesn’t matter. Lamar has been fantastic this season and folks are finally coming around on seeing how well he throws the ball. What is giving me pause here is that the line is 7.5 and the Ravens have not had a great start to many of these games. I really wish this game was 6.5.
Teaser / Parlays:
1u 7pt tease @ 120 - BAL -0.5 / DAL -2 / NO +9.5
.25u Long Shot Parlay @ +2448 - Bal -420 / NO +130 / CLE +120 / Ari -500 / Dal -430 / Phi +3 (-120) / LAR -200
NBA Plays
Recap - Well yesterday we had a ton of plays and it was profitable powered primarily by the 3-1 on the 3 unit plays.
Strategy - I am still going to lean in on v1.0 of the model for the foreseeable futured and only play 2u and 3u plays so only one play for me today.
Other Notes - Have a great day in all your action!
Plays Table v1.0:
Plays Table v2.0: