Week 3 Recap
Another disappointing week and it really was almost entirely caused by that absolutely awful Sunday Night Football game. Had the 49ers won that game we would have had a profit of 7.1u units including my weekly giveaway prop, but that is what gambling will do to you. The ups are great, but they can just hinge on a single drive.
The model’s plays went 4-2-1 this week to profit 1.1u for 21% ROI and if you have followed only those plays they are up 4.3u for 14.5% ROI.
Obviously, the problem is my personal exotics and they are a problem across the board, but as I described above we almost have had a monster week. Let’s see what this week brings!
Thursday Night Football
Dolphins @ Bengals (Thursday 8:15 pm) -
Stats that might matter - Based on the ESPN Pass Rush win rate Miami is 3rd in the NFL and Cinci is the 29th best pass blocking team.
Titanic Model Output - 0.5u on Miami +4 (-110)
My 2 cents - This is a super interesting game. Dolphins to me could really easily be 1-2 and when you break down the games the 2 wins were really not because they won but rather because the teams they went against lost. Now we have EVERYONE slurping all the Tua juice this seems prime for a letdown for the Dolphins coming off a hard game where their defense was on the field for over 40 minutes and they are coming off that emotional win vs the Bills. Miami also had a much harder game than the Bengals last week BUT as Ben Baldwin shows us, the Miami pass rush is legit and we all know the Bengals’ OL sucks.
Verdict -
I am going to go with my model Miami +4
0.25u on Tee Higgins any time TD +140
I hope you will come to hang out with us on discord!!!