Hi!!
Welcome to the Titanic Gambler!
My goal here is to streamline the gambling content that had previously been on my twitter account.
Why the change? I have gotten a lot of feedback over the last few months and it is clear that folks prefer receiving an email over monitoring my Twitter account or seeing Twitter notifications every time I tweet. Going forward I will post all of my picks (primarily NFL and NBA), performance readouts, and game analysis on here and Twitter will be, well, Twitter. My hope / goal is for posts on this site to not be overwhelming so I hope to have no more than one or two posts per day.
If you are someone who prefers Twitter as a medium for my content, then you are also in luck as I will also tweet every time I post on here (including a link) so that you can know to check!
Here is a good reminder of my list of things to know about my picks (if you have read these before, I apologize but I wanted them here as well):
I personally play every single play that I post (unless noted). I want these plays to win.
That said, I guarantee nothing for all free picks posted. What you do with the information I post is entirely up to you. If the plays don’t win, know that I am losing my money too.
If you are going to gamble PLEAAAAAAASE practice bankroll management. For tracking purposes, I use $100 per unit in my models and that equates to a bankroll of $10K. If $100 is more than 1% of your bankroll, please make sure to bet responsibly and reduce this amount when you lay action.
My models suggest plays in .5u, 1u, 2u, 3u increments and I will always quote all action I place in these increments
Unless otherwise specified, I use BetOnline and Bovada to pull my lines
I will always post / update my record good or bad and each week I will post a detailed break out of my model’s performance to date (e.g., all time, season to date, month to date, last week)
I calculate profit and loss based off of risking the unit(s) suggested (as opposed to using those as "to win" numbers) just as it is easier for me to do so
To track profit / loss, I use the best odds (quoted in American odds) between those two sites based on when I send my file so they may be -110 or -115 or whatever the books have live at that time. Note: You may be able to get better at a different book or at a different time, but I use the ones live as a post for (hopefully) obvious reasons
I reserve the right to cancel a bet based on COVID lineup changes and COVID lineup changes alone (think star entire QB room out with COVID 15min before kick-off). If I do not post / announce that I am canceling a bet prior to the game starting the play will count on my record win or lose. It is worth noting that to date I have canceled 0 plays.
I’m open to feedback and questions so please feel free to suggest other info you’d like to see (e.g., other sports, analysis, charts, performance) either in the comment section, DM, or email (Titanic.Gambler@gmail.com).
Don't be an asshole :)