Today is the Florida Derby which, is one of the best Kentucky Derby prep races so it is one you absolutely need to watch if you are getting ready for May.
It is worth noting, if you are finding this newsletter after the start of the racing day do not fret! With horse racing, you can jump in at any time!
Recap
Last time out I did the card for the Breeders Cup back in November. and we had a rather down day for -387.44, but remember horse racing can be very hit and miss, especially if you are betting multi-race tickets, and as I told you in the Breeders Cup post “That said, I have been gambling on horses for close to 2 decades and, in the name of transparency, in my personal history it is a track (Keeneland) where I have been hit or miss -I have had monster days and some complete shit shows.” soooo it was shit show.
It is worth noting that all the betting history in that report is from Belmont, Aqueduct and Keeneland and so this will be my first time with tracked results at Gulfstream.
Let’s cash some tickets today!
Race-by-Race Analysis:
Race 1 - 3, 5, 4
Race 2 - 12, 11, 6, 2, 4, 1
Race 3 - 5, 3, 8, 4, 2
Race 4 - 9, 1, 6, 7
Race 5 - 3, 1, 5, 8 ← I could live to regret this, but Master Piece seems like by far the best hours and has run well at this track in the past in graded stakes races.
Race 6 - 12, 3, 5, 11
Race 7 - 3, 5, 4, 6
Race 8 - 5, 2, 3, 6, 1
Race 9 - 1, 3, 8, 2, 4
Race 10 - 6, 8, 9, 1, 5
Race 11- 3, 2, 5, 9
Race 12 - 5, 2, 6, 8
Race 13 - 5, 6, 4, 3
Race 14 - 11, 4, 10, 9 ← Look Forte looks like by far the best horse, but if there is a horse that can beat him its the 10 or the 4
My list of single race tickets:
Below are my tickets for today’s races and these are based on my analysis and my bankroll. PLEASE make sure you are gambling within your bankroll and your limits!!
I am going for just about $522 worth of tickets, but that does NOT mean you have to do it too. If you are someone with a more limited bankroll, I say stick to the single-race card and/or feel free to throttle down the amount wagered.
The first post is 11:30 am ET.
Single Racecard ($288 total1):
Race 1 - $2 Ex Box 3, 4, 5 ($12)
Race 2 - Multiple ($17)
$5 on 12 to win ($5)
$0.5 Tri Box 2, 6, 11, 12 ($12)
Race 3 - Multiple ($22)
$10 on 5 to win ($10)
$2 Ex Box 3, 5, 8 ($12)
Race 4 - $4 Ex 1, 9 over 1, 6, 9 ($16)
Race 5 - Multiple ($27)
$5 on 3 to win ($5)
$10 on 3 to show ($10)
$2 Ex Box 3, 5, 8 ($12)
Race 6 - Pass. I do not like this race
Race 7 - Multiple ($27)
$15 on 3 to win ($15)
$2 Ex Box 3, 4, 5 ($12)
Race 8 - $0.5 Tri Box 2, 3, 5, 6 ($12)
Race 9 -Multiple ($15)
$5 on 1 to win ($5)
$2 Ex Box 1, 3, 8 ($12)
Race 10 - Multiple ($23)
$15 on 6 to win ($15)
$2 Ex 6 / 1, 5 8, 9 ($8)
Race 11 - $0.5 Tri Box 2, 3, 5, 9 ($12)
Race 12 - Multiple ($27)
$5 on 5 to win ($5)
$10 on 5 to show ($10)
$2 Ex Box 2, 5, 6 ($12)
Race 13 -Multiple ($17)
$5 on 5 to win ($5)
$2 Ex Box 4, 5, 6 ($12)
Race 14 - Multiple ($50)
$20 on 11 to win ($20)
$5 on 4 and 10 to win ($10)
$2 Ex 4, 11 / 4, 9, 10, 11 ($12)
$1 Tri 4, 11 / 4, 9, 10, 11 / 4, 9, 10, 11 ($12)
Come Chat!
Come hang out at the FREE Gamblers Paradise Discord where we are chatting about all things sports and gambling. We will be there all day on the horse racing channel watching the races together and cashing tickets!
We also have channels for NFL, NBA, Soccer, MMA, Cricket, you name it and we’ve got it! Come hang out!
My list of multi-race tickets:
Multi-Race card - These are HIGH risk / high-reward bets. Given the number of races and their profile, there are a ton of these today. While I am personally betting all of these and all of them will be tracked for performance reporting please make sure you are not over-extending yourself ($234):
Race 1 - $0.5 Pick 5 - 3, 4, 5 / 2, 6, 11, 12 / 3, 5, 8 / 1, 6, 9 / 3 ($54)
Race 2 - $0.5 Pick 4 - 2, 4, 6, 11, 12 / 3, 5, 8 / 1, 9 / 1, 3 ($30)
Race 7 - $0.5 Pick 4 - 3, 4, 5 / 2, 3, 5, 6 / 1, 2, 3, 8 / 6 ($24)
Race 10 - $0.5 Pick 5 - 6 / 2, 3, 5 / 2, 5, 6, 8 / 3, 4, 5, 6 / 4, 10, 11 ($72)2
Race 11 - $0.5 Pick 4 - 2, 3, 5, 9 / 2, 5, 6 / 4, 5, 6, / 4, 10, 11 ($54)
EDIT NOTE: at 12:30, someone on the discord rightly pointed out my $2 exactas are $12 not $6 so i have updated that across the card but the actual bets do not change, just the total risked
Note original publication left the 10 out of the last leg of this Pick 5. Updated 10am ET