Happy New Year! A few reminders:
NFL - Just a reminder that there is likely no NFL Newsletter for Week 18 because so many of these games do not mean anything. I will have the Week 17 recap later this week and that will include a full breakdown of the props we have left, what we need to win / lose and what open futures tickets we have.
Golf - the PGA returns this week with 34 straight weeks of tournaments. Make sure you are ready for this PGA Tour season with my golf refresher (spoiler alert - golf has been VERY profitable).
Monday Night Football
Game 16: Bills @ Bengals (Monday 8:15 pm)
Stat that might matter -
Per Ben Fawkes, the Bengals are 20-3 ATS in their last 23 games
Titanic Model Output - Pass
My 2 cents - This is the game of the week for me, and I know that is not really me going out on a limb saying it but this must-see TV. The Bengals lost their right tackle Collins to a torn ACL and MCL and their back up (Hakeem Adeniji) is REALLY bad. Is this going to be the signature win for this Bills team that it seems they do not have yet? This seems like an awful spot for the Bengals so while my model says pass, I like the Bills.
My Picks
0.5u on Buffalo -125 money line
0.25u on Dawson Knox to score a TD +225
NBA Weekly Recap
Okay! That is more like it! We had a phenomenal week and a really great start to the season. I will happily take an 8.5u profit on close to 10% ROI for the entirety of the season!
As you likely have seen, when you think about these picks day-to-day things can be very up and down, but the goal is always long-term profits, so you have to put to the side the daily grind and step back and see the big picture. So far so good, but LOTS of basketball left to be played.
NBA Plays
Yesterday’s (12/30) Performance: 3-0 for a 3.6u profit
Today - We have 4 plays for 4u of risk
Strategy - I am playing all the picks
Plays Tables -