MNF / Week 7 Recap
Overview
Another nice profit for my content. We move to 16u profit on the season1! I created this new time series chart that shows weekly profit (blue) and cumulative profit (orange). I will produce this each week (good or bad) from now on:
Sign up so you don’t miss anything!!!
Monday Night Football
Unfortunately MNF is a pass for my model. It sees slight value in Seattle +4.5, but not enough to qualify for a bet. If you see +5 then my model suggest a 0.5u bet, but I am not going to push what has been an odd week.
Week 7 Recap - Headlines: Model 5-3 +3.2u, Exotics 1-4 -0.75u, YTD total 64-72-1 +16.04u
It was a smaller week for the #TitanicModel with only 7.5 units put at risk, but it returned a 3.2u profit for a ROI of over 42% (look at Week7 in the picture below)!!!
Now, this is a reminder that every week is it’s own deal, but also that my model really should get better each week!!
Exotics didn’t quite work out, but given the limited risk, only lost .75u so not a killer and we continue to see steady long term profits.
Game by game analysis
Let’s go game by game:
Jets @ Pats - Pats - 7 - 1u bet win - Rookie QB’s against the Pats are terrible and as bad as Zach Wilson has been, Mike White is even worse. Remember he was a Dallas draft pick and was so bad the was cut going into his second year.
Eagles @ Raiders - Raiders -3 - 2u bet win- I am still not sure why folks were in love with the Eagles. It never made sense to me and frankly it still doesn’t. The only think I apologize about this is that I didn’t recheck numbers on Sunday morning because when this dropped to LV-1 it would have been a 3u play!!! Also, go look at your fav twitter folks who posted Fly Eagles Fly yesterday and had multi unit bets on them, but magically those tweets have all disappeared. smh. I hate dishonesty.
Lions @ Rams - LAR -15 - 1u bet loss- I hate when people say this, but I would still make this bet haha. I went back and forth between Rams and Cards and settled on Rams. Oh well. I still think they should have covered, but Lions continue to be frisky.
Colts @ 49ers - SF -4 - 0.5u bet loss - I apologize. This one is on me. I completely handicapped this game incorrectly. I really believed that Shanahan coming off a bye would be able to tear through that Tampa 2 defense….I was right for 1 drive. Then they got off script and fell apart.
This content went 2-2 this week for 1.3u profit
This content this season is 7-5-2 for 4.5u profit
Daily Fantasy
The Sunday version was slightly profitable for me, but was more or less even. It was looking soooooooo good, but then Josh Jacobs got hurt. I am thankful to have not lost money.
Thursday version is sitting in a pretty good spot. My games are rather profitable with J Winston still going tonight. Thankfully Debo had that late push past 100 yards and got that TD. We shall see how tonight goes!
Model picks and exotics