NBA Free Plays 12/11
Recap - Yesterday was a big card and we SMASHED it with 9.5u of profit!! Saturdays have been hit and miss so let’s hope we can keep this going to free play Saturday!
Strategy - I am playing the following:
1u and above plays on v1.0 - 5 plays!!
Note: You will see one highlighted - that is a collab play with @FrenchieBets ← make sure to give him a follow on Twitter
1u and above total plays from v2.0 - 1 play
Where models agree:
0.5u parlay +127 - Utah -250 / GSW -160
Other Notes - In yesterday’s post I commented about Closing Line Value (CLV), and how we’ve been capturing a ton of it by getting picks our early every day.
For example, yesterday the picks went out for Charlotte/ Sacramento total over 229. By 1:30pm that total was 231.5 and closed at 232 or 232.5, depending on the book. Ultimately that did not matter as that game was a score fest, but over time it should make you money.
ActionNetwork tracks it and in the footnotes (because it is a huge picture) I have put their analysis of my NBA bets1 .
Have a great day in all your action!
Plays Table v1.0:
Plays Table v2.0: