NBA Plays 11/30
Recap - 3-3 night, which is unfortunately a small loss. It seems we have some great days and then some small paper cuts days like yesterday.
Strategy - I keep track of EVERYTHING my model predicts so I am constantly looking to adjust as I look for angles that are profitable so now I am playing the following:
1u and above plays on v1.0
1u and over total plays from v2.0 1- over the last 2 weeks this strategy would be up 8.2u so I am hopeful this now has enough data to be viable.
Parlays where the models agree so parlays for today there is only one agreement so no parlays. Some notes on this topic:
I ran some numbers on what happens when the two models agree and they are promising, but hardly conclusive - since 11/16 (so 2 weeks) there have been 28 plays where they two models agree and those plays went 16-12., but the last week went 8-2!!.
Yesterday the only thing the two models agreed on was Cleveland +6. Not only was that an EASY cover, the Cavs led the entire game on the way to a 18 point victory, that money line was +220 at the close so why not take a swing with a 0.25u play on Sacramento Money Line +155
Other Notes - I will have the November month-end results in this section tomorrow so you see it immediately, but please note that it will also be in the Monday recap on 12/6 and you can infer the December to date results by looking at the difference between November and Season-to-Date numbers.
Have a great day in all your action!
Plays Table v1.0:
Plays Table v2.0:
Starting today the total’s predictions from v2.0 will be included in the results