NBA Recap / MNF and TNF Picks
With the NFL pushing games back as COVID surges through their teams we have 4 NFL games between today and tomorrow. Here is my NBA recap1 and my picks for those 4 games!
Note: my normal NFL recap will come out Wednesday this week so that I can take into account the results from all the games this week.
NBA Performance Update
This week we had a 1.3u profit. That might not seem like much, but when you take into account that we had 1 day (Saturday) that cost us close to 9u then it was a pretty good week! Yes, I am aware that sounds a lot like “well other than that one thing, how was the play Mrs. Lincoln?” but it is true!
The interesting thing this week is that really the only thing that performed were the 1u plays and they performed strongly with a nice 18.8% ROI.
It was just a great week! Here is the full breakdown:
More Football!
Raiders @ Browns (Monday afternoon) -
Titanic Model Output - Pass
My 2 cents - Obviously the amount of COVID going on in the NFL is scary and no team has been hit harder than the Browns. I have been saying for weeks that I thought they should start Case Keenum over Baker and I was happy to see him get his shot, but this is not how I would want it to happen, even if it led to one of the best quotes of the season2! Then he was out and they are starting Nick Mullens as he and Baker are still on the COVID list. Raiders on the other side are a mess. I really wonder if they will even be able to win this game against the depleted Browns and as I have been saying I am really not sure they win another game. I tend to lean towards the Browns.
Vikings @ Bears (MNF) -
Titanic Model Output - Minnesota -6.5 (-114) for 1u
My 2 cents - The Bears are another team that are beset by COVID and my model really likes the Vikings for tonight. I tend to agree with them model, but Kirk in prime time is always something that makes me weary.
Futures Watch - sorry I missed this one Saturday morning - We have Chicago u7.5. If they lose this game they will max out at 7 wins which means we get to book another winning ticket.
Seahawks @ Rams (Tuesday) -
Titanic Model Output - Pass
My 2 cents - I liked the Rams and liked them in a big way but they have TONS of covid so I am honestly not sure who will be playing for them. This is a pass for me.
Washington @ Eagles (Tuesday) -
Titanic Model Output - Pass
My 2 cents - I wrote this on Thursday morning when the line was Eagles -4.5 → “I agree with my model here. I think Eagles win this game. Going into last week I thought Washington would be able to win this game, but after seeing last week’s performance I am changing my mind. The Eagles defensive front should be able to over power this Washington Oline.” And that was BEFORE it was announced they were starting their 5th string center who is a plus sized male model3. Also, I have heard a lot of whispers that Eagles might roll out a 2 QB system this week.
Feel free to scroll past this if you dont care
There are pics in that thread