Some interesting trends and nuggets for your enjoyment this week:
No bye weeks this week!
Per Dave Tuley, through Week 11:
Favorites are 107-52 SU and 80-71-8 ATS
Home teams are 92-67 SU and 76-75-8 ATS
Unders are 98-65-1 and 27-8 for primetime games
Per Ben Fawkes, Monday Night Football unders are 12-1
Per Gilles Gallant, plus money INT props are now 64-60 +18.5u on the season after going 2-5 -1.85u in Week 11
Some Week 11 / Week 12 / team specific notes1:
Per Evan Abrams, there are 3 totals under 35 this week. We haven't had three totals close at 35 or less in the same week since Week 2, 2007.
Per Dave Tuley, in week 11, favorites went 11-3 SU (5-9 ATS); Unders went 10-4, 2-1 in primetime
Per Ben Fawkes, Carolina is the worst ATS team in the NFL at 1-7-2, and Atlanta and New England are next at 2-8. He also has the best which are Philly 6-2-2, followed by Dallas, Detroit, Jax, and TB at 7-3
Lions section (sorry, this was supposed to be in yesterday’s post):
Per Adam Schefter, the last time the Lions and Browns each won 7 of their first 10 games - the Jets were defending SB champs, Belichick was a high school senior and Apollo 11 had just landed on the moon.
Lions are 30-14 ATS with Dan Campbell as coach
Per Clay Travis, the Lions are 8-2 for the first time since 1962
Per John Ewing, 18 games have been decided by 1-2 points this NFL season - tied 2nd most through Week 11 since 2005
I highly recommend checking out Ben Baldwin’s analysis each week
The games:
Thanksgiving recap - a small profit yesterday with one teaser still pending
Other Plays
UPDATED ON 11/26 AT 10:07 AM ET! LET’S HAVE AN AWESOME DAY!
Other bets
0.5u Buffalo / Philly over 48.5 (-110)
0.5u KC Chiefs -8.5 (-110) - I had half a unit on this on Friday and I want to add more to it to bring it to a full unit.
Teasers
pending - 0.5u 7pt Teaser - Dallas -6.5 / Bears +10 / Bills +10 (+127)
pending - 1u 6.5pt teaser - Dolphins -3 / Chiefs -2.5 (-130)
pending - 0.5u 7pt teaser - Dolphins -2.5 / Bengals +8.5 / Panthers +10.5 (+127)
0.5u 7pt Teaser KC -1.5 / KC-LV over 36 / Buf-Phi o 41.5 (+120)
1u 7pt teaseer Chargers +10 / Chiefs -1.5 / Browns +8.5 (+120)
Parlays
pending - 0.5u Miami -460 / Patriots -183 (-114)
0.25u Panthers +165 / Chargers +145 / Bengals +125 (+1361)
Props (0.25u each)
Russell Wilson over 0.5 INTs (+105)
Aiden O’Connell under 204.5 passing yards (-129)
Justin Fields over 51.5 rushing yards (-135)
Lamar Jackson over 0.5 INTs (+141)
Rhamondre Stevenson ATD (+140)
Good luck with all your action! Have a great weekend!
I highly recommend giving all these accounts a follow as I just cherry-pick info, but they have tons of really great information