Week 12 Recap
I was not a one-week wonder! We had a decent 1.5u of profit this week across a ton of bets. I had been going with less is more until this week, but given the schedule where we had so much on Thursday, more on Friday and then the full slate on Sunday allowed me to gauge how we were doing and then attack as I wanted.
Now, it was not a huge week and frankly, some of the losses were pretty bad (looking at you New England, Carolina, and Cleveland), but we were able to overcome and really be buoyed by those 0.5u bets that went an astounding 7-1 this week and really have been the bright spot all season!
Let’s hope this continues and within 3-4 weeks we should have widdled this negative start down to nothing!
Golf
While the Australian Open has already started, there is STILL time to get your action in on the South African Open and the Hero World Challenge where Eldrick Tiger Woods will be teeing up alongside 19 of the best golfers in the world!
Make sure you do not miss out on my picks!
Thursday Night Football Pick and Analysis
On November 10th, on the Gamblers Paradise Discord (PLEASE COME JOIN), I posted that I thought Dak (and Goff) were the best live lon shot MVP bets to make as I thought Dak was playing really well and I thought it would continue. Well, he was 50-1 at that moment and he is now 6-1 and I could not anticipate how well he would play. How well has he played? Per Bill Barnwell, since week 6, Dak’s QBR is 80.7, and no one else is above 68. So now someone pointed out the teams they played and Bill pointed out if you look at the teams he’s played the combined QBR for QBs playing those specific teams is 54.8.
One other thing to note about this game is that normally teams are on a short week for Thursday games, but this time both teams played on Thanksgiving so they each have a full week to prep
Other bets:
1u parlay Dallas -450 / Houston Texans -180 (-111)
EDIT NOTE- the odds were correct but this parlay originally had the Denver Broncos listed. This was updated on 11/30 at 5:06pm ET
0.5u 7pt teaser Cowboys -2 / Browns +10.5 / Dolphins -2 (+120)
0.25u Dak Prescott ATD +500