Some interesting trends and nuggets for your enjoyment this week:
This is the last week of byes and we only have 2 with Arizona and Washington
We also have 2 Monday Night Football games this week, for reasons unknown
Per Dave Tuley, through Week 13:
Favorites are 129-59 SU and 100-80-8 ATS
Home teams are 104-84 SU and 86-94-8 ATS
Unders are now 109-83-1; prime time unders are 28-12 but went 0-3 last week
Per John Ewing, through Week 11 overs were 64-99-1, since they are 19-11
Per Gilles Gallant, plus money INT props are now 69-71 +12.7u on the season
Per Adam Schefter, the Eagles, Cowboys, and 49ers all have playoff-clinching scenarios this week, while the Carolina Panthers were the first team officially eliminated from the playoffs.
Some Week 13 / Week 14 / team specific notes1:
Per Dave Tuley, in week 13, favorites went 10-3 SU (8-5 ATS); Unders went 4-9
The New England Patriots are first teams since the 1938 Chicago Bears to lose 3 straight games while not giving up more than 10 points in those 3 games2
Per Adam Schefter, before last week, the 49ers were the team with the longest drought for 1000-yard backs in the NFL going back to 2014 and Frank Gore, but CMC ended it.
This is the 3rd straight week the Eagles are facing a team who has 10 days of rest
Per Carmen Vitali, the Packers are 16-0 in December under Matt LaFluer
I highly recommend checking out Ben Baldwin’s analysis each week
Something to note is there might be some pretty extreme weather, especially on the east coast, this weekend so make sure that is something you are keeping in mind. Rain/snow are notable, but the big thing to look for is wind.
The games:
We had nothing for last night, but I did tell you I really liked the over, and that hit easily in the 1st half so hopefully folks got after that one.
Early games:
Later games:
Night games:
Other Plays
OKAY WE ARE READY TO GO. UPDATED AT 10:55AM ET.
Given the weather, I want to take some shots now to lock in some prices. I will definitely have a Sunday update.
Other bets
Teasers
pending - 1u 7pt teaser - Seahawks +17.5 / Colts +8 / Ravens pk (+120)
pending - 1u 6pt teaser - Ravens -1.5 / Bills +7.5 (-120)
pending - 0.5u 7pt teaser - Seahawks +18 / Jets +10.5 / Bear +10 (+131)
0.5u 6pt teasers - Colts-Bengals over 38 / Bucs-Falcons o35 (-110)
Parlays
pending - 1u 49ers -625 / LA Chargers -148 (-106)
pending - 0.25u Bears +155 / Vikings -160 (+314)
1u Dallas -175 / Cleveland -125 (+183)
0.25u Chargers -150 / Browns -125 / Bears +148 / Vikings -150 (+1140)
Props (0.25u each)
pending - Patrick Mahomes over 0.5 INT (+100)
pending - Jake Browning over 0.5 INT (+105)
pending - Justin Fields over 63.5 rushing yards (-115)
Brandon Cooks any time TD (+185)
Justin Jefferson any time TD (+120)3
Good luck with all your action! Have a great weekend!
I highly recommend giving all these accounts a follow as I just cherry-pick info, but they have tons of really great information
I saw this on ESPN so don’t have a direct attribution but want to be clear about where this came from
I am also personally betting him 2+ TDs and first TD scorer at +750 each