NFL Week 5 Performance
I hate losing. I hate it so much. This week was not what I or we wanted, but there is a LOT of football left and always I will be 100% transparent with my and my model’s performance.
Let’s get to the performance…. what you will actually see is that I have created some reporting. This is what I use from now for most of my update as it make my life easier and I think it gives a nice quick summary.
Things to note:
The top table is the model’s all time performance aka 2020-2021 and the 2021-2022 seasons combined
The second table is only the 2021-2022 NFL Season
The fourth table covers the performance for the current month1
The last table shows the prior week’s performance, so for this week you will see it listed as “week 5”
You will see on the left hand side of the tables it says “wager amount” with 50, 100, 200, 300……That is just what I personally use for my units and it just make my life easier to assume $100 = 1 unit. PLEASE DO NOT TAKE THIS TO MEAN YOU MUST BET $100 per unit.
This week’s report:
Game by game analysis
I hope you all enjoyed this new content. It took a while to put together, but I thought it was a fun add AND IT WAS PROFITABLE!! If only Sam Darnold could hit a wide open receiver or they didn’t get that punt blocked, we could have had a great day.
This content went 2-2-1 for +0.72u
I calculated this by using the units the model suggested and bet each as the amount to risk, except for the ML. ML bets are always “to win” bets.
Parlays / Teasers / Other
It was nice to have a profitable week here (2-3 +0.5u), but good lord did we have to sweat some of these haha.
Parlay / Teaser / Other Performance to date: 17-25 +10.5u
Parlays: 5-16 +9.9u
Teasers: 7-5 +3.4u
Other Bets: 5-4 -2.8u (this includes hedges)
Once a month ends, the next report will show the prior month’s performance so on November 2nd performance report you will see the full month of October