John Deere Classic - Recap
Another weekend and another profit!!! Since I tore down and moved to v2.0 we have had 8 straight profitable weeks.
We knew this would be a tough tournament given how light the field was so I am very happy with a 58.2% ROI even if some of our action got wiped away with late scratches.
As you will see below we had a PHENOMINAL June and while I would LOVE for July to be similar it is unlikely. We have to keep grinding T10, T20, and H2H profits and hope we hit a winner every now and then.
Genesis Scottish Open
This week the PGA Tour joins up with it’s European brothers for the Scottish Open as the last opportunity to play yourself into the Open Championship next week.
This tournament has rather strong field to play this Par 71 7,136 yard course at the Renaissance Club. This field is a bit stronger than normal and I wonder how much of that is guys getting tuned up before St Andrews and how much is the PGA Tour using this as a show of support for their newly enhanced relationship with the DP Tour given everything that is happening with LIV.
The week before a major can always be tricky, but this week is especially so as the golfers are going to be asked to play a type of golf many of them are not overly used too with “links golf”1. We may see some guys using this week to work on specific aspects of their links golf game rather than trying to win.
Weather in Scotland should be in highs in the mid 60’s so quite a bit cooler than those golfer who have been in the US recently have been experiencing. The wind in links golf always plays a factor and the current forecasts have this weekend being much windier than Thursday and Friday.
Let’s get to this week’s dance card (about 9.2u of risk):
Outright (0.25u on each):
Matthew Fitzpatrick +2000
Patrick Cantlay +2500
Sungjae Im +4500
T10 (0.25u on each):
Matthew Fitzpatrick +200
Tyrrell Haton +550
Chris Kirk +850
T20
1u on Matthew Fitzpatrick +110
0.5u on Sungjae Im +180
0.5u on Tyrrell Haton +250
0.25u on Jordan Smith +375
0.25u on Chris Kirk +375
Match ups
1.33u Ryan Fox over Billy Horschel -133
1u on Alex Noren over Robert MacIntyte +100
0.65u on Will Zalatoris over Jordan Spieth -130
0.6u on Matthew Fitzpatrick over Xander Schauffele -120
0.5u on Lucas Herbert over Jordan Smith +105
0.5u on Harold Varner III over Aaron Rai +109
0.3125u on Cameron Tringale over Jhonattan Vegas -125
0.2875 on Hideki Matsuyama over Jordan Spieth -115
As always, I am using BetOnline and Bovada to pull these odds that are live at the time of publication.
If you want to come hang out and chat during the tournament come to:
Some week’s I drop some of my picks early there, but really this is just a great place to come chat during the tournament!.
Daily Fantasy
Okay, I want to address what happened with Pendrith as I got a bunch of questions. In DFS for golf they lock the lineups as soon as the first tee shot is hit. Unfortunately last week Pendrith was a very late withdrawal so given that the first grouping had already teed off we were unable to change him out.
Should DFS move to a NFL type system where the guys do not lock until their tee time with the ability to replace them with anyone who hasn’t teed off yet? Yes, but unfortunately they aren’t there yet so we got a zero from him.
That all said to get ANY money back with a zero is pretty much a miracle so I will take it and be happy.
I am taking a pass this week but will be back next week for the Open Championship.
Good luck in all your action!
If you are unfamiliar with this style of golf, I will let my good friends at wikipedia explain