Sanderson Farms Championship - Recap
Well, that was not great. We had 14 bets and went 2-12, both wins coming from the Top 20 bets. Thankfully I kept it pretty light so we lost a total of 3.4u.
As I always say, I do not really worry about losses under 5u, but this one felt kind of worse than the 3.4u we lost as it felt like we had a bunch of guys who were in contention early but they could not string more than 9 good holes together.
Shriners Children’s Open
Make sure you have your fez ready as the PGA tour heads to Las Vegas, Nevada to visit TPC at Summerlin for the Shriners Children’s Open. This Bobby Weed-designed course plays to a par 71 over a distance of ~7,250 yards. The winners of this tournament tend to be those who shoot in the low -20s so do not be surprised by guys going super low again this week.
The 2022 Shriners saw us cash a 25-1 ticket on Tom Kim’s 2nd PGA Tour victory when shot -24 to beat tournament favorite Patrick Cantlay (8-1) and Matthew NeSmith (60-1) by 3 strokes. The 2021 edition saw Sungjae Im (30-1 odds) capture his most recent tournament win when he shot -24 to capture his 2nd PGA Tour title when he topped Matthew Wolf (40-1) by 4 strokes, and the 2020 edition saw Martin Laird (-23) capture his 2nd Shriner’s fez, this time as a 200-1 shot, when he topped bested Austin Cook (400-1) and Matthew Wolff (20-1) in a playoff.
Since this tournament moved from a 90-hole event to a 72-hole event Marc Turnesa’s victorious score of -25 in 2008 is the lowest to par, while the aggregate record of 260 was achieved by Ryan Moore (2012), Webb Simpson (2013), Sungjae Im (2021) and Tom Kim (2022).
Last year, we had a 7.9 unit profit (117% ROI) mostly driven by Tom Kim’s win, but we did have profits across Top 10, Top 20, and Head-to-Heads!
As will be our expectation for most of the fall calendar, this field lacks high-level names in the 132-man field so we are taking just 6.25u of risk and also holding a small bit of powder dry for the Spanish Open (Here is a link to those picks):
Outright:
0.75u Si Woo Kim +2500
0.55u JT Poston +3300
0.45u Adam Schenk +4000
0.45u JJ Spaun +4000
0.35u Beau Hossler +5000
0.22u Nick Taylor +8000
T10 (0.25u on each):
Si Woo Kim +250
JT Poston +300
Nick Taylor +525
T20
1u Si Woo Kim +120
0.5u Adam Schenk +150
0.5u Beau Hossler +160
0.25u Nick Taylor +225
0.25u Patrick Rodgers +230
0.25u Ben Griffin +240
As always, I am using BetOnline and Bovada to pull these odds. I bet them as I write this so they are live within the 30 min or so of publication.
Daily Fantasy
Taking a pass this week, but will take a swag next week.
Good luck with all your action!