Week 14 Recap
Man o man. So close to a monster week, but the freaking Dolphins did not show up. I did the math, if Miami gets home for us and the 49ers don’t blow that SNF game in Week 3 we are close to profitable. That is really how fine the margins have been this year.
I am considering the following futures settled1:
Falcons to have fewest wins - Loss
Jameis Winston over 3700.5 passing yards - Loss
Jameis Winston Comeback Player of the Year - Loss
Skyy Moore Offensive Rookie of the Year - Loss
This is why you are starting to see the dip at the end of this chart as well as the negative on the Futures line above.
Thursday Night Football
Game 1: 49ers @ Seahawks (Thursday 8:15 pm)
Titanic Model Output - 0.5u on Seattle +3 (-103)
My 2 cents - Purdy did well last week, but how much of that was him and how much was due to Kyle Shanahan creating a great offensive game plan that he could execute and execute well? One interesting thing to note is that while they lose Debo, they do have CMC there and he is a ready-made replacement. This game might come down to how does Seattle’s defense handle the San Fran play action game. They were not able to get off the field last week when they got manhandled by the Panthers and their D ended up on the filed for over 39min. This seems like the entirety of the betting public will be on San Fran, but I really think the Purdy is going to have an entirely different ball of wax trying to hear and make the calls while the 12th man loses their collective minds.
Give me the ‘hawks
0.25 on Christian McCaffrey under 119.5 rushing and receiving yards (-115)
0.5u 7pt Teaser +127 on Seahawks +10 / Ravens +9.5 / Falcons +11
Reminder that I only book losses before things settle, I will not book a win until it fully settles.