It has been quite a while since we had horse picks, but it is the last really big racing day of the year so I thought, let’s do some handicapping for one of the most picturesque race tracks in the country - Santa Anita!
If you have never been to that part of Southern California, I highly recommend it. While LA is certainly cool, I actually think Pasadena is an amazing place to visit and stay and then drive the approx 30 min over to the track.
For those of you who are new to my Horse Racing content - it always follows a similar pattern:
A recap from our last race day, including all-time horse racing content stats
Race by race analysis where I give you my favorite horses, by race, and a little bit of breakdown for a few of the races
My single-race tickets
My multi-race tickets
Do NOT miss out on Week 9 for the NFL season so check out my free picks that were published Friday afternoon!!
Saratoga July 28th Recap
Not an amazing day but we continued to have great performance with our Exacta tickets which allowed us to have a positive day for our single-race tickets.
Unfortunately, a ton of misses in the multi-race tickets perspective to end up with a down day. As always, these can be very hit-and-miss and much like parlays (which these essentially are) you can lose a ton for a while and then hit once and pay off all your debts.
Race-by-Race Analysis:
Race 1 - 5, 3, 6
Race 2 - 6, 3, 12, 7, 10 11
Race 3 - 4, 3, 9, 6, 5 ← I think Cody’s Wish is an amazing horse with an even better story, but he doesn’t look as special around two turns and the price is going to suck so very little value
Race 4 - 1, 6, 2, 4
Race 5 - 1, 7, 9, 4, 5
Race 6 - 3, 6, 10, 2, 11
Race 7 - 5, 6, 4, 9 ← for those who enjoyed the Ryder Cup, the 5 horse here is named after the course where the next European-based Ryder Cup will be hosted
Race 8 - 5, 9, 11, 2
Race 9 - 3, 8, 11, 2, 12, 6 ← Arcangelo scratching sucks because the Classic was shaping up to be an unbelievable race. Instead, we get another round of Zandon (who I love) vs White Abario with that Japanese horse that has won 7 of its last 8 races mixed in. Arabian Knight will likely be the favorite, but like half the field has run better more recently so he is a fade for me. This should be a really exciting race.
Race 10 - 10, 3, 1, 7, 5 ← I really like the 10 horse, but with such a short race, the outside slot scares me
Race 11 - 7, 9, 8, 2, 4, 6 ← I will be open with the fact that I had a really tough time working through the handicapping of this race.
Race 12 - 6, 7, 5, 3
My list of race tickets:
Below are my tickets for today’s races and these are based on my analysis and my bankroll. PLEASE make sure you are gambling within your bankroll and your limits!!
For today, I am giving myself a $300 bankroll for single races (this is 3u of sports betting risk for me). This does NOT mean you have to bet that much too. If you are someone with a more limited bankroll, PLEASE throttle down the amount wagered to a level that is more comfortable for you (e.g., cut every bet in half).
NOTE - UPDATED AS OF 11:52AM ET
The first post is at 1:10 pm ET.
My betting card ($300):
Race 1 - $4 Ex Box 3, 5, 6 ($24)
Race 2 - Multiple ($17)
$5 on 6 to win
$2 Ex Box 3, 6, 12 ($12)
Race 3 - Multiple ($39)
$5 on 4 to Win
$10 on 4 to Show
$4 Ex 3, 4 / 3, 4, 6, 9 ($24)1
Race 4 - $5 Ex Box 1, 6 ($10)
Race 5 - Multiple ($34)
$10 on 1 to Win
$4 Daily Double 1, 7 / 3, 6, 10 ($24)
Race 6 - Multiple ($36)
$2 on 3 to Win
$10 on 3 to Show
$1 Tri Box 2, 3, 6, 10 ($24)
Race 7 - $2 Ex Box 4, 5, 6 ($12)
Race 8 - Multiple ($22)
$10 on 5 to Win
$2 Ex Box 5, 9, 11 ($12)
Race 9 - Multiple ($48)
$10 on 3 to Win
$2 on 2 to Win (just in case)
$2 Ex Box 3, 8, 11 ($12)
$1 Tri 3, 8 / 2, 3, 8, 11 / 2, 3, 6, 8, 11,12 ($24)
Race 10 - Multiple ($22)
$10 on 10 to Place
$2 Ex Box 1, 3, 10 ($12)
Race 11 - Multiple ($24)
$2 Ex Box 7, 8, 9 ($12)
$0.5 Tri Box 2, 7, 8, 9 ($12)
Race 12 - $2 Ex Box 5, 6, 7 ($12)
Come Chat!
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We also have channels for NFL, College Football, NBA, Soccer, MMA, Cricket, you name it and we’ve got it!
Last week my college football action went 6-2 and I hit a +972 parlay (Western Michigan -2.5 / Boise St -185 / GT +12 / UMass +9.5) that allowed me to give away $250! Come hang out!
List of Pick 5 and Pick 4 tickets:
These are HIGH risk / high-reward bets. You should view these are 4 and 5-race parlays so if you are going to do these make sure you fully understand the risk you are taking on here. There are a LOT of sequences today so I am going to be a bit picky and doing about $200 (2u of sports betting) of action so while I am giving you picks for all of them the only ones I am betting and tracking are those in italics ($362.5 / $196) :
Race 1 - $0.5 Pick 5 - 3, 5, 6 / 3, 6, 7, 12 / 3, 4, 9 / 1, 2, 6 / 1 ($54)
Race 2 - $0.5 Pick 4 - 3, 6, 7, 12 / 3, 4, 6, 9 / 1, 6 / 1, 7 ($32)
Race 3 - $0.5 Pick 5 - 3, 4, 6, 9 / 1, 2, 6 / 1 / 3, 6, 10 / 4, 5, 6, 9 ($72)
Race 4 - $0.5 Pick 4 - 1, 2, 6 / 1 / 2, 3, 6, 10 / 4, 5, 6, 9 ($24)
Race 5 - $0.5 Pick 4 - 1, 7 / 2, 3, 6, 10 / 4, 5, 6, 9 / 5, 9 ($32)
Race 6 - $0.5 Pick 4 - 3, 6, 10 / 4, 5, 6, 9 / 5, 9, 11 / 3, 8 ($36)
Race 7 - $0.5 Pick 5 - 4, 5, 6 / 5, 9, 11 / 3, 8 / 1, 3, 10 / 7, 8, 9 ($81)
Race 8 - $0.5 Pick 4 - 5, 9 / 2, 3, 8, 11 / 1, 3, 10 / 7, 8, 9 ($36)
Edit note- this ticket said “box” in it but clearly the ticket was not a box