Some interesting trends from last week:
Home teams went 4-12 ATS
Underdogs went 9-7, with 8 winning outright
NFC went 3-0 in interconference games
I was asked a really good question today about the odds of my spread bets. Everything is between +100 and -120 and is readily available at books when I post. I am working to see if I can incorprate that into the new format, but, in the mean time, if there are odds that are outside that band I will quote them in the notes (see game #7 below)
The games:
TNF Recap - Well that game was not very exciting, but it picked up and we won our MASSIVE over 48.5 bet so we rock into the weekend ahead by 0.23u!!!! LET’S GOOOOO1!!!!!
Come join the “Gamblers Paradise” Discord
Gamblers Paradise is a Discord we started to be a haven for gamblers of all levels! Too many discords devolve into trolling, name-calling, rudeness, and Twitter Touts trying to get you to buy their content, but Gamblers Paradise is the exact opposite!
Instead, it is a community of sports and gambling fans who are there watching games together and sharing their thoughts/angles for games.
NOTE: I will have my MNF picks out early on Monday morning.
Other Plays
One of the reasons I am so big on transparency is that I can tell you who I am betting and you can see my record and choose what is right for you (e.g., follow, fade, follow only some) so to that end….reminder from Thursday - the Titanic Model (plays above) were profitable last week and the below was not so something to keep in mind when you are thinking about what to bet.
Totals, Parlays, Teasers, and Props:
0.5u on New England / Miami over 46 (-110)
0.25u on Tennessee Titans Money Line (+125)
0.5u on a 6pt Teaser - Bears +8.5 / Titans +9 (-115)
0.5u on a 6pt Teaser - Packers +8 / Cowboys -2.5 (-120)
0.25u on 7pt Teaser - Titans +10 / Bills -1 / Jaguars +10.5 (+127)
0.5u on 2-team parlay - Packers +109 / Cowboys -405 (+160)
0.25u on 2-team parlay - Titans +125 / Jaguars +155 (+474)
Props
0.25u on Jaylen Waddle under 63.5 receiving yards (-115)
0.25u on Josh Jacobs over 66.5 rushing yards (-120)
0.25u on Justin Fields over 0.5 INT (+105)
0.25u on Patrick Mahomes over 0.5 INT (+115)
Good luck with all your action! Have a great weekend!
Obviously tongue pressed firmly into the cheek